الواقع الجديد موقع إخباري منوع مستقل
((Alwaqa Aljadeednews))
Tuesday, September 20 2016. Mukalla
By / Mohammed Boa’aran
There is no doubt that the decision to transfer the Central Bank to the capital of Aden came after fully convinced of the legitimate government and the countries of the Arab Aliance that the crisis in Yemen will not be solved in a political or military ways at the moment.
The decision has been taken to narrow the economic noose on coups only, but there is an objective and significance of the last to make this decision. It has come to close in coups politically. They are trapped between two choices, without anymore .
* First choice :
Compliance with this resolution and the resulting conclusions
The first is to recognize the legitimacy of Hadi ‘as they complied with the decision’ and the most recently is entering into a severe economic crisis that will not be able to get out.
(That it is unlikely that the coups know conclusions acceptance of this decision).
* the second choice :
Ignored this resolution and keep the central bank in Sana’a, where they will continue to print banknotes, (which will ease the load on them instead narrowing). They will not pay
for the disbursement of salaries to the liberated areas.
Consequently the staff salaries of liberated areas will be used “being disbursed by the Central Bank of Aden” for the purchase of foreign currencies to strengthen the collapsing economic.
They will also work on a plan to stabilize and install their economic situation by continuing to print banknotes and purchase of foreign currencies through intermediaries from dealers and brokers wars. Which will give them scope to the provisions of the reins on lying areas under their control. This scenarist is expected to occur.
That will make the legitimate government represented by President Hadi and the countries of the Arab Alliance to have replace the current currency into a new one guaranteed from the Central Bank of Aden.
In contrast, there will not be recognition of the new currency by coups. Where they keep handling the current currency. Which will result in chaos hard to turn it off without creating a new reality, disengagement.
The fact that the variables that have occurred basically and the impossibility of dealing with them economically because of the presence of two central banks and two currencies in a single state. As a result, that probably would make the international community to automatically yield the repercussions of the new phase and accept the disengagement with adjustable expected in the map. Where they will add some areas of the north to the southern state.